Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.