

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 7.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Celta Vigo | 
| 78.24% (  0.25) | 14.03% (  0.03) | 7.73% (  -0.28) | 
| Both teams to score 47.04% (  -1.65) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.63% (  -1.32) | 35.37% (  1.31) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.6% (  -1.48) | 57.4% (  1.47) | 
| Barcelona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.73% (  -0.24) | 7.27% (  0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.66% (  -0.63) | 26.34% (  0.63) | 
| Celta Vigo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 50.73% (  -1.64) | 49.27% (  1.64) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.85% (  -1.19) | 84.15% (  1.19) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barcelona | Draw | Celta Vigo | 
| 2-0 @ 12.3% (  0.5) 3-0 @ 10.75% (  0.31) 1-0 @ 9.39% (  0.5) 2-1 @ 8.71% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.61% (  -0.13) 4-0 @ 7.05% (  0.12) 4-1 @ 4.99% (  -0.15) 5-0 @ 3.69% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% (  -0.18) 5-1 @ 2.61% (  -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.77% (  -0.14) 6-0 @ 1.61% (  -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.14% (  -0.07) 5-2 @ 0.93% (  -0.09) Other @ 2.98% Total : 78.22% | 1-1 @ 6.65% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 3.58% (  0.23) 2-2 @ 3.08% (  -0.16) Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.03% | 0-1 @ 2.54% (  0.05) 1-2 @ 2.35% (  -0.09) Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.73% | 
 
 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 | 
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 | 
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 | 
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 | 
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 | 
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 | 
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 | 
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 | 
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 | 
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 | 
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 | 
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
