

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
| 16.12% ( | 20.33% ( | 63.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( | 42.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.31% ( | 64.68% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% ( | 39.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24% ( | 75.99% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.34% ( | 12.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.19% ( | 38.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 4.64% ( 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 2-0 @ 2.17% ( 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 3-1 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 16.12% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.33% | 0-2 @ 10.62% ( 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0-3 @ 7.32% ( 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0-4 @ 3.78% ( 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-5 @ 1.57% ( 1-5 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 63.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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