Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.