After a tough recent run, Mallorca are probably not the side that Villarreal would have chosen to play right now, given the problems that they have caused other big teams along the way this season.
We are expecting a tight game, with Villarreal dominating possession, but Mallorca landing a sucker punch to frustrate the Yellow Submarine once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 68.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.11) 
