Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.
