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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
41.19% (![]() | 26.84% (![]() | 31.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.65% (![]() | 54.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.27% (![]() | 75.73% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.01% (![]() | 25.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.99% (![]() | 61.01% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.45% (![]() | 31.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.05% (![]() | 67.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 37 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 64 | 28 | 36 | 78 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Barnsley | 36 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 72 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 64 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 63 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 61 |
9 | Portsmouth | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 58 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 49 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 49 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 37 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 45 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
16 | Port Vale | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 45 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
19 | MK Dons | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 39 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 71 | -42 | 26 |
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