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Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at Vale Park
Port Vale
1 - 1
Accrington
Worrall (57')
Ojo (30'), Smith (34'), A (63'), Benning (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Presley (52' pen.)
Fernandes (73'), McConville (88')
Rodgers (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-2 Accrington Stanley

Although Accrington have struggled in the league this season, they are currently unbeaten in five competitive games, and we think that they will be able to hold Port Vale to a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawAccrington Stanley
48.01% (-2.405 -2.4) 25.37% (0.268 0.27) 26.62% (2.137 2.14)
Both teams to score 52.15% (1.127 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (0.533 0.53)50.99% (-0.533 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.466 0.47)72.85% (-0.465 -0.47)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.804 -0.8)21.25% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-1.265 -1.26)54.16% (1.264 1.26)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (2.089 2.09)33.77% (-2.088 -2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (2.206 2.21)70.43% (-2.205 -2.21)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 48%
    Accrington Stanley 26.62%
    Draw 25.36%
Port ValeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.63 -0.63)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.444 -0.44)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.213 0.21)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.272 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.429 0.43)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.374 0.37)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.278 0.28)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.62%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Accrington

Port Vale
82.4%
Draw
8.8%
Accrington Stanley
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
5-1
Accrington
Wilson (30', 73', 79'), Cass (85'), Lloyd (90+3')
Gibbons (36'), Jones (83')
Hamilton (85')
Conneely (79')
Bishop (70')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Accrington
3-2
Port Vale
McConville (52', 72'), Kee (54')
Jackson (61'), Johnson (78')
Pope (3'), Tonge (41')
Kay (65'), Worrall (77')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Accrington
Worrall (22')
Kay (50')
Kee (36', 62')
Rawson (87')
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
3-0
Accrington
Purse (54'), Hughes (50', 66')
Duffy (68')

Liddle (49'), Winnard (72')
Bennett (5')
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
Accrington
2-0
Port Vale
Amond (43' pen.), Gray (90')
Nsiala (58'), Liddle (90')

Neal (43'), Duffy (46'), Morsy (51')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39258670422883
2Ipswich TownIpswich392312478314781
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds402312568323681
4Barnsley392361067363175
5Bolton WanderersBolton3919101053312267
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough402141568472167
7Derby CountyDerby4019101161412067
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe401881453421162
9Portsmouth4016141055451062
10Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury39167164750-355
11Exeter CityExeter401411155852653
12Charlton AthleticCharlton401313145951852
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood401214144443150
14Lincoln CityLincoln391019103741-449
15Bristol Rovers38139165160-948
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham40129193451-1745
17Port Vale40129194060-2045
18Burton Albion38129174971-2245
19MK Dons40118213757-2041
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd39912184050-1039
21Accrington StanleyAccrington39911193363-3038
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge39106233260-2836
23Morecambe41713213871-3334
24Forest Green RoversForest Green4068262974-4526

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