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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
36.74% (![]() | 27.02% (![]() | 36.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.56% (![]() | 54.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.19% (![]() | 75.8% (![]() |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% (![]() | 28.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.68% (![]() | 64.31% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% (![]() | 28.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% (![]() | 64.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.31% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.05% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 10.23% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 55 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 53 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 47 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 44 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 44 |
10 | Portsmouth | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 37 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Port Vale | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 29 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
19 | MK Dons | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 28 |
20 | Burton Albion | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 28 |
21 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 27 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 21 |
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