Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 42.9% ( | 26.81% ( | 30.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% ( | 54.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( | 76.08% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( | 25.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.94% ( | 60.06% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( | 32.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.46% ( | 69.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 |
| 3 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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