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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
42.9% (![]() | 26.81% (![]() | 30.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.22% (![]() | 54.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.91% (![]() | 76.08% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% (![]() | 25.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% (![]() | 60.06% (![]() |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% (![]() | 32.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% (![]() | 69.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 11.45% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.71% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.34% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.25% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 |
3 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 49 |
6 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 |
13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 24 |
17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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