Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 36.53% ( | 25.72% ( | 37.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.06% ( | 48.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% ( | 71.02% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( | 26.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.92% ( | 61.08% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( | 25.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.84% ( | 60.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 4-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.53% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0-2 @ 6.22% ( 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 38 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 21 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 |
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 16 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 11 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
