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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
AZ Alkmaar
FC Twente
2 - 1
AZ
Ugalde (42', 70')
Eiting (66'), Taha (86'), Propper (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Odgaard (4')
Martins Indi (65'), Bazoer (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 FC Twente
Sunday, December 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 AZ
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: FC Twente 2-2 AZ Alkmaar

Goals have been a real feature of this fixture, and we are anticipating another entertaining affair here. That said, we are backing the sides to cancel each other and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
46.3% (-0.42 -0.42) 23.79% (0.296 0.3) 29.91% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 59.77% (-0.985 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-1.327 -1.33)42.06% (1.323 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-1.345 -1.35)64.46% (1.342 1.34)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.688 -0.69)18.38% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47% (-1.173 -1.17)49.52% (1.17 1.17)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (-0.587 -0.59)26.76% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.778 -0.78)62.04% (0.77399999999999 0.77)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 46.3%
    AZ Alkmaar 29.91%
    Draw 23.78%
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.309 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.286 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.275 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.91%

How you voted: FC Twente vs AZ

FC Twente
52.9%
Draw
11.8%
AZ Alkmaar
35.3%
17
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 26
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (8', 11')
Karlsson (66')
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
AZ
1-1
FC Twente
Odgaard (54')
Ugalde (81')
Mar 13, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 23
AZ
0-1
FC Twente
Brenet (62')
Sadilek (38'), Propper (79')
Sep 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
FC Twente
3-1
AZ
Van Wolfswinkel (1'), Rots (17'), Limnios (90+1')
Propper (57')
Karlsson (44')
Martins Indi (39'), de Wit (51'), Gudmundsson (84'), Hatzidiakos (90')
Mar 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 26
AZ
4-1
FC Twente
Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')
Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV2018206395456
2Feyenoord20144253173646
3FC Twente20125339211841
4AZ AlkmaarAZ20105540211935
5Ajax20105547361135
6Go Ahead Eagles208663428630
7NECNijmegen207853933629
8PEC Zwolle207583032-226
9Sparta RotterdamSparta207582527-226
10Fortuna SittardSittard206682133-1224
11FC UtrechtUtrecht205872330-723
12Almere CityAlmere City206592137-1623
13Heerenveen2064103140-922
14SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior204973338-521
15Heracles2054112648-2219
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2043131838-2015
17FC VolendamVolendam2033142147-2612
18Vitesse2033141342-2912

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