

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 46.3% ( | 23.79% ( | 29.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( | 42.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( | 64.46% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( | 18.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.47% ( | 49.52% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( | 26.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.96% ( | 62.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
