MX23RW : Wednesday, May 28 00:21:02| >> :60:1078:1078:
Ross County
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Play-offs - Final | 2nd Leg
May 26, 2025 at 8pm UK
Global Energy Stadium
Livingston logo

Ross County
2 - 4
Livingston

Nisbet (7'), Hale (24')
Nightingale (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (40'), Wilson (57'), Muirhead (61'), Yengi (90+6')
McGowan (44'), Finlayson (76'), Yengi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Ross County and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Ross County
Thursday, May 22 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Ross County
Thursday, May 22 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

We said: Ross County 2-1 Livingston (Ross County to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Ross County would have taken confidence from Hale's late equaliser, and after making a habit of surviving the Scottish Premiership playoffs, we think that the hosts will do enough to edge out Livingston with home advantage in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 21.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Ross CountyDrawLivingston
21.65% (-2.991 -2.99) 24.05% (-0.573 -0.57) 54.3% (3.561 3.56)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-1.76 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (-0.589 -0.59)50.05% (0.585 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.528 -0.53)72.02% (0.524 0.52)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-3.089 -3.09)37.69% (3.086 3.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-3.142 -3.14)74.46% (3.138 3.14)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (1.163 1.16)18.33% (-1.166 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.56% (1.939 1.94)49.43% (-1.942 -1.94)
Score Analysis
    Ross County 21.65%
    Livingston 54.3%
    Draw 24.04%
Ross CountyDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.418 -0.42)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.63 -0.63)
2-0 @ 3.29% (-0.51 -0.51)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.382 -0.38)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 21.65%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.343 -0.34)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 11.72% (0.69 0.69)
0-2 @ 9.94% (0.927 0.93)
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.134 0.13)
0-3 @ 5.62% (0.71 0.71)
1-3 @ 5.49% (0.272 0.27)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.39% (0.377 0.38)
1-4 @ 2.33% (0.196 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 54.3%

How you voted: Ross County vs Livingston

Ross County
48.2%
Draw
14.3%
Livingston
37.5%
56
Head to Head
May 22, 2025 8pm
Play-offs - Final 1st Leg
Livingston
1-1
Ross County
Wilson (45+1')
Smith (85'), Wilson (90+5')
Hale (90+5' pen.)
Samuel (37'), Kenneh (61'), White (90+2')
Jan 18, 2025 3pm
Fourth Round
Ross County
2-2
Livingston
(Aggregate 2-2 | Ross County win 0-0 on penalties)
White (55'), Hale (73')
White (65'), Lopata (68'), Kenneh (90+1'), Ashworth (118')
Muirhead (45+1' pen.), Montano (61'), Shinnie (120')
May (82'), Montano (90+1'), Muirhead (90'), Ubochioma (109'), McAlear (110'), Brandon (112')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Livingston
2-0
Ross County
Anderson (12'), Kelly (53' pen.)
Carson (90+4')

(90+9')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Ross County
3-2
Livingston
Brophy (21', 27'), Sims (90+2')
Sheaf (75'), Murray (89')
Anderson (47', 86')
Nottingham (66'), Yengi (90+9')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Livingston
2-2
Ross County
Pittman (45'), MacKay (88')
Penrice (24')
Murray (28', 85')
Nightingale (69'), Murray (87')
rhs 2.0
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