Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 0
Universidad

Jesus (38', 38')
Cuiabano (59'), Cuiabano (59'), John (66'), John (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gabriel Guerrero Pena (32'), Gabriel Guerrero Pena (32'), Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (45+6'), Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (45+6'), Calderon (88'), Calderon (88'), Altamirano (90+1'), Altamirano (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Botafogo and Universidad de Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Universidad 4-0 Carabobo
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Universidad de Chile had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Universidad de Chile win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botafogo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result
BotafogoDrawUniversidad de Chile
61.24% (0.504 0.5)20.74% (-0.398 -0.4)18.02% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.69% (1.157 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (1.629 1.63)40.72% (-1.635 -1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89% (1.647 1.65)63.11% (-1.654 -1.65)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.661 0.66)12.83% (-0.668 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.82% (1.345 1.35)39.17% (-1.351 -1.35)
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.844 0.84)36.1% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.848 0.85)72.88% (-0.855 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 61.24%
    Universidad de Chile 18.02%
    Draw 20.74%
BotafogoDrawUniversidad de Chile
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.477 -0.48)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.162 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.16 0.16)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.088 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.103 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 61.24%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.355 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.74%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.246 -0.25)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 18.02%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Universidad

Botafogo
76.5%
Draw
11.8%
Universidad de Chile
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Universidad
1-0
Botafogo
Di Yorio (59')
Fernandez (26'), Sepulveda (75'), Aranguiz (90+3'), Guerra (90+5')

de Paula (26'), Gregore (47'), Jeffinho (90+1'), Jesus (90+5')
Jesus (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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