MX23RW : Wednesday, May 28 23:38:31| >> :60:138:138:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Botafogo logo

Universidad
1 - 0
Botafogo

Di Yorio (59')
Fernandez (26'), Sepulveda (75'), Aranguiz (90+3'), Guerra (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Paula (26'), Gregore (47'), Jeffinho (90+1'), Jesus (90+5')
Jesus (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad de Chile and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Universidad
Thursday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, March 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 46.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Universidad de Chile in this match.

Result
Universidad de ChileDrawBotafogo
46.67% (1.719 1.72) 28.27% (0.178 0.18) 25.06% (-1.892 -1.89)
Both teams to score 42.83% (-1.794 -1.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.6% (-1.575 -1.58)62.4% (1.579 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.97% (-1.166 -1.17)82.03% (1.172 1.17)
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (0.14 0.14)26.87% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (0.181 0.18)62.19% (-0.177 -0.18)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (-2.568 -2.57)41.42% (2.572 2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (-2.346 -2.35)77.93% (2.35 2.35)
Score Analysis
    Universidad de Chile 46.66%
    Botafogo 25.06%
    Draw 28.27%
Universidad de ChileDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.89 0.89)
2-0 @ 9.61% (0.62 0.62)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 46.66%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 11.13% (0.64 0.64)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.286 -0.29)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.458 -0.46)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 25.06%

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