MX23RW : Tuesday, April 8 14:18:22| >> :60:733:733:
CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron
Botafogo logo

Racing
2 - 0
Botafogo

Vietto (31' pen.), Martinez (63')
Di Cesare (16'), Zuculini (41'), Martirena (81'), Ignacio Nardoni (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barboza (29'), da Silva (45+3'), Araujo da Costa Junior (70'), Seco (72')
Cuiabano (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONMEBOL Recopa clash between Racing Club and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-3 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, February 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Botafogo 0-3 Pachuca
Wednesday, December 11 at 5pm in FIFA Intercontinental Cup

We said: Racing Club 1-0 Botafogo

Having already played several meaningful games this season, we expect Racing to settle into this match much quicker and find their form against a Fogo side that have not faced many strong opponents in recent times. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawBotafogo
38.32% (-1.864 -1.86) 27.85% (-1.057 -1.06) 33.82% (2.918 2.92)
Both teams to score 48.08% (3.679 3.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.17% (4.232 4.23)57.82% (-4.236 -4.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45% (3.226 3.23)78.55% (-3.23 -3.23)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.99000000000001 0.99)29.23% (-0.994 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (1.202 1.2)65.19% (-1.206 -1.21)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94% (4.306 4.31)32.06% (-4.31 -4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47% (4.621 4.62)68.53% (-4.625 -4.63)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 38.32%
    Botafogo 33.82%
    Draw 27.85%
Racing ClubDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 11.52% (-1.63 -1.63)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.275 0.28)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.32%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 9.37% (-1.619 -1.62)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.561 0.56)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.45 -0.45)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.73 0.73)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.44 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.559 0.56)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.403 0.4)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.382 0.38)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Racing vs Botafogo

Racing Club
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Botafogo
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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