Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.