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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Watford logo

Hull City
1 - 0
Watford

Tufan (25' pen.)
Coyle (60'), Ebiowei (79'), Woods (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Louza (72'), Pedro (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 2-1 Watford

Watford can only be low on confidence after Wednesday's capitulation and we feel that could show in their performance. While Hull have struggled for wins themselves, the Tigers will fancy their chances of outworking the Hornets for the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hull City.

Result
Hull CityDrawWatford
36.55% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 27.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 36.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.97% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.44% (-0.107 -0.11)55.55% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)76.73% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)29.19% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)65.13% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)29.43% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-0.052 -0.05)65.43% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 36.55%
    Watford 36.14%
    Draw 27.29%
Hull CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Hull City vs Watford

Hull City
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
Watford
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Watford
0-0
Hull City

Woods (19')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Hull City
2-0
Watford
Markovic (62'), Clucas (71')
N'Diaye (42'), Markovic (66'), Robertson (81')
Niasse (25')

Prodl (68')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Watford
1-0
Hull City
Dawson (82' og.)
Behrami (53')

Mason (57'), Clucas (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley402315255124384
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd40267756302683
3Leeds UnitedLeeds402313479285182
4Sunderland402112757372075
5Middlesbrough401791461491260
6Bristol City401515105143860
7Coventry CityCoventry40178155753459
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom401318948361257
9Millwall401412143941-254
10Watford40158174853-553
11Norwich CityNorwich401313146256652
12Blackburn RoversBlackburn40157184243-152
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds401410165461-752
14Preston North EndPreston401018124047-748
15Swansea CitySwansea40139184151-1048
16Queens Park RangersQPR401113164553-846
17Portsmouth40129194863-1545
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd401112174157-1645
19Hull City401111184048-844
20Stoke CityStoke401013174153-1243
21Derby CountyDerby40118214252-1041
22Cardiff CityCardiff40914174363-2041
23Luton TownLuton40109213661-2539
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth40813194278-3637


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