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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 42.85% ( | 26.7% ( | 30.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.73% ( | 54.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% ( | 75.66% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( | 25.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( | 59.78% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( | 32.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.89% ( | 69.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.45% |