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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 0
Swansea

Sissoko (27')
Louza (42'), Selvik (72'), Kayembe (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabango (48'), Cullen (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
42.85% (1.349 1.35)26.7% (-0.322 -0.32)30.45% (-1.026 -1.03)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.555 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (0.906 0.91)54.27% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (0.752 0.75)75.66% (-0.751 -0.75)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (1.112 1.11)25.09% (-1.111 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (1.513 1.51)59.78% (-1.513 -1.51)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-0.265 -0.27)32.57% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-0.297 -0.3)69.11% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Watford 42.85%
    Swansea City 30.45%
    Draw 26.69%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.184 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.209 0.21)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.85%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.397 -0.4)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.45%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
59.1%
Draw
13.6%
Swansea City
27.3%
66
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
Swansea
1-0
Watford
Peart-Harris (35')
Grimes (40'), Franco (44'), Peart-Harris (79')

Ebosele (26'), Sierralta (45')
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Watford
1-1
Swansea
Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')