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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 0
Swansea

Sissoko (27')
Louza (42'), Selvik (72'), Kayembe (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabango (48'), Cullen (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Swansea City

Becoming accustomed to playing most Tuesdays and Wednesdays is important for any EFL club, but these two sides have struggled in that regard of late, both falling to defeat in their previous four midweek league games. Something has to give here, and even though they were beaten on this pitch just four days ago, Watford will be the slight favourites, and should be able to close the gap on the top six slightly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
42.85% (1.349 1.35) 26.7% (-0.322 -0.32) 30.45% (-1.026 -1.03)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.555 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (0.906 0.91)54.27% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (0.752 0.75)75.66% (-0.751 -0.75)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (1.112 1.11)25.09% (-1.111 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (1.513 1.51)59.78% (-1.513 -1.51)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-0.265 -0.27)32.57% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-0.297 -0.3)69.11% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Watford 42.85%
    Swansea City 30.45%
    Draw 26.69%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.184 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.209 0.21)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.85%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.397 -0.4)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.45%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
59.1%
Draw
13.6%
Swansea City
27.3%
66
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
Swansea
1-0
Watford
Peart-Harris (35')
Grimes (40'), Franco (44'), Peart-Harris (79')

Ebosele (26'), Sierralta (45')
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Watford
1-1
Swansea
Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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