MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:04:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Eom (26')
Franco (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dijksteel (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-0 Swansea
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Middlesbrough

The hosts look an improved outfit under the temporary guidance of Sheehan, and we think that they can grab a point against a Boro team that are coming out of a rough patch in the league. The injuries are mounting up for Middlesbrough, and therefore, we feel that Swansea are capable of getting a draw in what should be a close encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.25% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 25.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 40.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (0.054000000000002 0.05)46.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (0.049999999999997 0.05)69.13% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.042999999999992 0.04)26.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.56% (-0.055 -0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.76% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 34.25%
    Middlesbrough 40.55%
    Draw 25.2%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.55%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
40.5%
Draw
32.4%
Middlesbrough
27.0%
37
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Latte Lath (25' pen.)
Engel (39')

Cabango (14'), Franco (43'), Tymon (76'), Thomas (90+4'), Thomas (90+4')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
2-0
Swansea
Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
1-2
Middlesbrough
Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!