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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Eom (26')
Franco (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dijksteel (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-0 Swansea
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Middlesbrough

The hosts look an improved outfit under the temporary guidance of Sheehan, and we think that they can grab a point against a Boro team that are coming out of a rough patch in the league. The injuries are mounting up for Middlesbrough, and therefore, we feel that Swansea are capable of getting a draw in what should be a close encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.25% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 25.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 40.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (0.054000000000002 0.05)46.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (0.049999999999997 0.05)69.13% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.042999999999992 0.04)26.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.56% (-0.055 -0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.76% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 34.25%
    Middlesbrough 40.55%
    Draw 25.2%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.55%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
40.5%
Draw
32.4%
Middlesbrough
27.0%
37
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Latte Lath (25' pen.)
Engel (39')

Cabango (14'), Franco (43'), Tymon (76'), Thomas (90+4'), Thomas (90+4')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
2-0
Swansea
Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
1-2
Middlesbrough
Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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