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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
3 - 1
Swansea

Burger (64'), Bae (73'), Baker (90+3')
Pearson (41'), Baker (78'), Moran (85'), Moran (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (61')
Cabango (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Both Stoke and Swansea are determined to return to winning ways this weekend and put together a positive run of form in the coming weeks. However, there is little to separate these two teams and the spoils could be shared once again in another closely-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
40.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 32.5% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.69% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)76.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.012 -0.01)61.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.047000000000011 0.05)31.35% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)67.72% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.52%
    Swansea City 32.51%
    Draw 26.96%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.52%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.51%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Swansea City
27.3%
22
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Swansea
0-0
Stoke
Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Swansea
3-0
Stoke
Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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