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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
3 - 0
Swansea

Robinson (47', 51'), Goutas (67')
Ralls (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grimes (45+5'), Cullen (81'), Bianchini (88'), Cabango (90'), Bianchini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City

The freshest legs at the Cardiff City Stadium will no doubt belong to the visitors, but Williams could be working around a diminished defence yet again, and his side are hardly pulling up trees on the road. As was the case in September, we can envisage another closely-contested derby ending all square, as the Bluebirds remarkably play out their fourth 1-1 Championship draw in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
41.17% (-0.509 -0.51) 26.16% (-0.032 -0.03) 32.66% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.02% (0.275 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (0.274 0.27)51.43% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.239 0.24)73.24% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.139 -0.14)24.68% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)59.2% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.49600000000001 0.5)29.61% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.598 0.6)65.65% (-0.59599999999999 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 41.17%
    Swansea City 32.66%
    Draw 26.16%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.66%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Swansea

Cardiff City
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Swansea City
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-1
Cardiff
Cullen (10')
Allen (90+6'), Ng (90+10')
Robinson (79')
Darling (90+10'), Colwill (90+11')
Bulut (91')
Mar 16, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')

Meite (17')
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff
2-0
Swansea
Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')

Fulton (57')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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