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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
3 - 0
Swansea

Robinson (47', 51'), Goutas (67')
Ralls (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grimes (45+5'), Cullen (81'), Bianchini (88'), Bianchini (88'), Cabango (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
41.17% (-0.509 -0.51)26.16% (-0.032 -0.03)32.66% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.02% (0.275 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (0.274 0.27)51.43% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.239 0.24)73.24% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.139 -0.14)24.68% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)59.2% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.49600000000001 0.5)29.61% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.598 0.6)65.65% (-0.59599999999999 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 41.17%
    Swansea City 32.66%
    Draw 26.16%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.66%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Swansea

Cardiff City
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Swansea City
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-1
Cardiff
Cullen (10')
Allen (90+6'), Ng (90+10')
Robinson (79')
Darling (90+10'), Colwill (90+11')
Bulut (91')
Mar 16, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')

Meite (17')
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff
2-0
Swansea
Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')

Fulton (57')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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