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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Cardiff

Latte Lath (12')
Doak (75'), Barlaser (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chambers (21')
O'Dowda (30'), Rinomhota (76'), Robertson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Middlesbrough are in the midst of an injury crisis, they have been difficult to beat in recent weeks, and it is hard to see them losing against Cardiff. Additionally, the visitors' record on the road is poor, and it would not be surprising if their defensive frailty was once again exposed on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
55.79% (-0.261 -0.26) 23.41% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 20.81% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.014000000000003 0.01)48.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)17.18% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (-0.156 -0.16)47.44% (0.155 0.16)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (0.218 0.22)37.61% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62% (0.211 0.21)74.39% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 55.78%
    Cardiff City 20.81%
    Draw 23.41%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 20.81%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
83.3%
Draw
12.5%
Cardiff City
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Siopis (5'), Daland (39')
Clarke (55'), Ramsey (82' og.)
Morris (69')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-4
Middlesbrough
Bowler (90+1')
Clarke (45'), Azaz (49'), Latte Lath (56'), Gilbert (60')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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