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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Coventry City

Cardiff
1 - 1
Coventry

Robertson (6')
Ng (83'), Alnwick (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sakamoto (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Cardiff
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Millwall
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawCoventry City
37.86% (0.433 0.43)26.23% (0.076000000000001 0.08)35.92% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (-0.341 -0.34)51.19% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (-0.299 -0.3)73.03% (0.301 0.3)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (0.085999999999999 0.09)26.34% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (0.112 0.11)61.49% (-0.109 -0.11)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (-0.461 -0.46)27.46% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (-0.597 -0.6)62.95% (0.6 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 37.86%
    Coventry City 35.92%
    Draw 26.23%
Cardiff CityDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.155 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.92%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Coventry

Cardiff City
46.8%
Draw
30.4%
Coventry City
22.8%
79
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Coventry
2-2
Cardiff
Mason-Clark (7'), Torp (89' pen.)
Sakamoto (45+1')
Meite (4'), Robertson (48')
O'Dowda (11'), Turnbull (39'), Chambers (58'), Ralls (88'), Robertson (88'), Alnwick (89'), Siopis (89')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Coventry
1-2
Cardiff
Simms (22')
Wright (64')
Kitching (29' og., 67')
Turnbull (35'), Ramsey (90+5')
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
3-2
Coventry
Goutas (8'), Grant (61'), Etete (84')
Collins (66'), Etete (90+4')
Godden (35', 90+6')
Godden (82'), McFadzean (90+9'), Latibeaudiere (90')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Coventry
0-0
Cardiff
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Cardiff
0-1
Coventry
Gyokeres (34')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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