Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 2
Cardiff

Harris (41'), Brown (53'), Placheta (57')
Dembele (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ashford (82'), Robinson (90+4')
Robertson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Cardiff City
33.08% ( -0.39)	26.08% ( -0.09)	40.84% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.04% (

0.3)

50.95% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.17% (

0.26)

72.82% (

-0.26)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

-0.11)

29.1% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

-0.13)

65.02% (

0.13)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

0.39)

24.63% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

0.54)

59.14% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 33.08%

Cardiff City 40.84%

Draw 26.07%

Oxford United	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.08%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.84%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cardiff

Oxford United

56.1%

Draw

24.6%

Cardiff City

19.3%

Form Guide

Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd 1-3 Sheff Weds

QPR 2-0 Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd 1-1 Millwall

Sheff Utd 3-0 Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd 2-6 Middlesbrough

Cardiff 0-2 Sheff Utd

Sheff Weds 1-1 Cardiff

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table