Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
2 - 2
Cardiff

Moran (17', 17'), Gibson (90+5')
Moran (24'), Wilmot (65'), Gibson (66'), Famiwuya (67')

FT(HT: 2-1)

El Ghazi (32'), B (73' og.)
Ralls (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Stoke
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Preston
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
46.64% ( 0.01)	25.34% ( -0.01)	28.01% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.01% (

0.03)

49.98% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.03% (

0.03)

71.96% (

-0.03)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

0.02)

21.43% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55% (

0.03)

54.45% (

-0.03)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.84% (

0.01)

32.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.36% (

0.02)

68.64% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 46.64%

Cardiff City 28.01%

Draw 25.34%

Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 46.64%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.01%