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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Cardiff

Moran (17'), Gibson (90+5')
Moran (24'), Wilmot (65'), Gibson (66'), Famiwuya (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Ghazi (32'), B (73' og.)
Ralls (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Stoke
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Preston
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Cardiff City

In the midst of a six-game winless run, Stoke will view Saturday's visit of relegation rivals Cardiff as the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways. The Bluebirds will be bruised after their woeful Wednesday night with Preston, and we feel that the Welsh outfit's luckless spell on the road will stretch to 10 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
46.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 25.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 28.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01% (0.030999999999999 0.03)49.98% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (0.029 0.03)71.96% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.016999999999996 0.02)21.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (0.026999999999994 0.03)54.45% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.15% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)68.64% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.64%
    Cardiff City 28.01%
    Draw 25.34%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.01%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
75.7%
Draw
13.5%
Cardiff City
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Etete (5'), Grant (32')
Ng (40'), Siopis (51'), Ralls (76'), Goutas (83')
Bae (41')
Thompson (45+2'), Burger (73')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
0-0
Cardiff
McNally (42')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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