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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Millwall

Gibson (60')
Gibson (45+3'), Burger (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (42')
Esse (53'), Wintle (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Stoke
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
39.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.75% (0.011999999999997 0.01)32.28% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)57.71% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)78.46% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)28.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)63.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.65% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.97%
    Millwall 32.28%
    Draw 27.74%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.28%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
47.6%
Draw
14.3%
Millwall
38.1%
42
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
0-0
Millwall
Rose (47')
Mitchell (18'), Cooper (66'), Harding (79')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Millwall
1-0
Stoke
Nisbet (38')
Saville (7')

Laurent (18'), Wilmot (33'), Hoever (35'), Pearson (51'), McNally (82')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
0-1
Millwall
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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