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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Burnley logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Burnley

Cooper (52')
Cooper (21'), Bryan (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarmiento (88'), Mejbri (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 QPR
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Burnley

This could prove to be one of the more competitive games of the weekend, Millwall having shown that they could emerge as surprise promotion contenders through the playoffs. However, Burnley are difficult to beat regardless of whether they are playing home or away, and we are backing the Clarets to come through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBurnley
44.89% (-0.354 -0.35) 27.66% (0.205 0.2) 27.45% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.467 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91% (-0.643 -0.64)59.09% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46% (-0.502 -0.5)79.54% (0.499 0.5)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.473 -0.47)26.24% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.637 -0.64)61.34% (0.636 0.64)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.233 -0.23)37.48% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74% (-0.228 -0.23)74.26% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 44.89%
    Burnley 27.45%
    Draw 27.65%
MillwallDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Burnley

Millwall
24.8%
Draw
30.5%
Burnley
44.8%
105
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Millwall
1-1
Burnley
Bradshaw (85')
Barnes (51')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Burnley
2-0
Millwall
Vitinho (62'), Rodriguez (72')
Sep 23, 2020 7pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Burnley
Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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