
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 1U. Catolica
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vitoria 1-1 Defensa
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-3 U. Catolica
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
43.7% (![]() | 26.02% (![]() | 30.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.37% (![]() | 51.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% (![]() | 73.42% (![]() |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% | 23.5% |