Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 6, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria1 - 1Defensa
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Vitoria and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Vitoria
Saturday, May 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
7
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 3-2 Defensa
Friday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
39.9% (![]() | 28.23% (![]() | 31.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.48% (![]() | 59.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.13% (![]() | 79.87% (![]() |
Vitoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.86% (![]() | 29.14% (![]() |