MX23RW : Friday, April 25 21:24:19| >> :60:391:391:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 6, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Defensa y Justicia

Vitoria
vs.
Defensa

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Vitoria and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Cerro Largo
Thursday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Vitoria vs. Gremio
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: U. Catolica 3-1 Defensa
Friday, April 25 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Defensa vs. Racing
Monday, April 28 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Defensa y Justicia has a probability of 31.99% and a draw has a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win is 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.05%).

Result
VitoriaDrawDefensa y Justicia
40.29% (1.244 1.24) 27.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 31.99% (-1.217 -1.22)
Both teams to score 48.02% (-0.231 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.3% (-0.147 -0.15)57.7% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (-0.117 -0.12)78.45% (0.11800000000001 0.12)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.63800000000001 0.64)28.05% (-0.637 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.803 0.8)63.7% (-0.802 -0.8)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (-0.92 -0.92)33.26% (0.922 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (-1.027 -1.03)69.87% (1.027 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 40.28%
    Defensa y Justicia 31.98%
    Draw 27.72%
VitoriaDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.85% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.305 0.31)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.98%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Defensa
0-0
Vitoria
Gutierrez (51')
Marcos (78')
rhs 2.0
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