Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Gremio
35.8% ( 1.32)	27.51% ( 0.42)	36.69% ( -1.75)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6% (

-1.56)

56.4% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59% (

-1.28)

77.41% (

1.27)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

0.06)

30.06% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

0.08)

66.2% (

-0.08)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

-1.78)

29.52% (

1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

-2.23)

65.53% (

2.23)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 35.79%

Gremio 36.68%

Draw 27.51%

Vitoria	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.79%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.68%

Head to Head

Dec 4, 2024 11pm

Gameweek 37

Vitoria

1-1

Gremio

Alerrandro (67')
Neris (51'), Carpini (52')

Pedro (37')
Marchesin (45+3'), Reinaldo (70')

Jul 21, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 18

Gremio

2-0

Vitoria

Soteldo (63'), Reinaldo (90+6' pen.)
Carballo (45+1')

Willians Assis Arcanjo (17'), Naldi (23'), Janderson (35'), Kennyd Gabriel Santos (52'), Oliveira (60'), Carpini (71'), Esteves (90+2'), Reynaldo (90+5')

> Preview

Nov 25, 2018 7pm

Gameweek 37

Vitoria

0-0

Gremio

Farias (17'), Jeferson (90')

Michel (29'), Kannemann (42'), Santos (51'), Geromel (86')

Aug 12, 2018 11pm

Gameweek 18

Gremio

4-0

Vitoria

Dos Santos (12'), Jailson (21'), Pepe (58'), Everton (82')
Victor (85')

Renato Bonifacio Augusto (33'), Andrade (39'), Kanu (54')

Form Guide

Vitoria 0-1 Cerro Largo

Fluminense 1-1 Vitoria

Vitoria 2-1 Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Vitoria

Defensa 0-0 Vitoria

Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo

Godoy Cruz 2-2 Gremio

Gremio 1-1 Internacional

Mirassol 4-1 Gremio

Gremio 0-2 Flamengo

Gremio 2-0 Atletico Grau

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Flamengo Flamengo	11	7	3	1	24	4	20	24
2	Cruzeiro	11	7	2	2	17	8	9	23
3	Bragantino Bragantino	11	7	2	2	14	8	6	23
4	Palmeiras Palmeiras	11	7	1	3	12	8	4	22
5	Fluminense	11	6	2	3	15	12	3	20
6	Botafogo	11	5	3	3	14	7	7	18
7	Bahia	11	5	3	3	11	11	0	18
8	Mirassol	11	4	5	2	17	12	5	17
9	Atletico Mineiro	11	4	5	2	11	10	1	17
10	Ceara Ceara	11	4	3	4	13	11	2	15
11	Corinthians	11	4	3	4	12	14	-2	15
12	Gremio	11	4	3	4	11	14	-3	15
13	Sao Paulo	11	2	6	3	9	11	-2	12
14	Internacional Internacional	11	2	5	4	12	16	-4	11
15	Vasco da Gama Vasco	11	3	1	7	11	15	-4	10
16	Vitoria	11	2	4	5	10	14	-4	10
17	Fortaleza Fortaleza	11	2	4	5	10	15	-5	10
18	Santos Santos	11	2	2	7	8	12	-4	8
19	Juventude Juventude	11	2	2	7	8	24	-16	8
20	Sport Recife Sport	11	0	3	8	5	18	-13	3
					> Brasileiro Full Table