Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Mar 29, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio2 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletic Club 3-3 Gremio (7-8 pen.)
Wednesday, March 12 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, March 12 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
0
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 4-1 Manaus
Wednesday, March 5 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, March 5 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
0
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
40.22% ( 0.02) | 26.72% ( 0) | 33.06% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
