Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Maribor win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
0.02) 
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