Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
32.53% (![]() | 23.68% (![]() | 43.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.68% (![]() | 40.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.31% (![]() | 62.69% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.72% (![]() | 24.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.35% (![]() | 58.65% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.28% (![]() | 18.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.91% (![]() | 50.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 7.63% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.53% | 1-1 @ 10.78% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.03% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 43.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |