Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.96%. A win for Real Madrid has a probability of 20.94% and a draw has a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Real Madrid win is 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.73%).
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Real Madrid |
59.96% (![]() | 19.09% (![]() | 20.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.95% (![]() | 28.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.19% (![]() | 48.8% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.66% (![]() | 9.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.52% (![]() | 31.47% (![]() |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.28% (![]() | 25.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.35% (![]() | 60.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 9.17% (![]() 3-1 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 4.23% Total : 59.96% | 1-1 @ 7.73% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.09% | 1-2 @ 5.25% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 20.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 76 |
2 | Real Madrid | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 72 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 66 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 60 |
5 | Villarreal | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 54 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
9 | Mallorca | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 44 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 42 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Espanyol | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 39 |
14 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 37 |
16 | GironaGirona | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 35 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 34 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 32 |
19 | Leganes | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 30 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 81 | -57 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |