Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.92%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Leganes win it was 2-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.