Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 79.72%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 7.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.