La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 9, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
1 - 4
Barcelona

Vargas (8')
Niguez (16'), Romero (45+4'), Bade (67'), Marcao (88'), Suso (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lewandowski (7'), Lopez (46'), Raphinha (55'), Garcia (89')
Gavi (38'), Garcia (80')
Lopez (62')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 1 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 0-5 Barcelona
Thursday, February 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Barcelona
25.37% ( 0.06)	24.01% ( -0.2)	50.63% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 55.36% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

0.92)

46.23% (

-0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

0.86)

68.52% (

-0.86)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75% (

0.54)

32.25% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.26% (

0.61)

68.74% (

-0.61)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

0.41)

18.29% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.63% (

0.69)

49.37% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 25.37%

Barcelona 50.62%

Draw 24.01%

Sevilla	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 25.37%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.62%