

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 66.54% ( | 19.15% ( | 14.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( | 63.03% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.66% ( | 11.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.97% ( | 36.03% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% ( | 40.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.71% ( | 77.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 3-0 @ 7.94% ( 3-1 @ 7.13% ( 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 5-1 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.53% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.15% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.69% Total : 14.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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