Barcelona are on a roll at the moment, and we are expecting their winning run to continue this weekend. Lewandowski's absence is a huge blow, but Xavi's side should have too much quality for Getafe, who have lost their last four league games at Camp Nou.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 84.93%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 4.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.58%) and 1-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
0.29) 
-0.21) 
