This is such a difficult match to call for a number of reasons. On paper, Sevilla are the favourites, but they have really struggled this season, and their home form has been so disappointing. Cadiz are also not losing at the moment, but we just have a feeling that Sevilla could navigate their way to a huge three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.
0.08) 
-0.19) 
