

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.09%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 7.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
| 78.09% ( | 14.89% ( | 7.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.41% ( | 42.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( | 64.99% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.02% ( | 8.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.4% ( | 30.6% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.82% ( | 56.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 11.43% ( | 88.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
| 2-0 @ 14.64% ( 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 3-0 @ 11.77% ( 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 4-0 @ 7.1% ( 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 5-0 @ 3.42% ( 5-1 @ 1.97% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 78.08% | 1-1 @ 7.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 2-2 @ 2.44% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 14.89% | 0-1 @ 2.91% ( 1-2 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 7.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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