Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.