

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
| 27.13% | 28.2% | 44.67% |
| Both teams to score 44.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.92% | 61.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.95% | 81.05% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.16% | 38.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.43% | 75.57% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% | 27.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.28% | 62.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.53% Total : 27.12% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 13.76% 0-2 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-3 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.26% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | GironaGirona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Valencia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | CadizCadiz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Granada | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Almeria | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 3 |
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