

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Montrose in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 52.73% ( | 22.7% | 24.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( | 41.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( | 63.5% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( | 15.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.35% ( | 44.65% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( | 30.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.71% ( | 66.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.67% ( 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-1 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
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