

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Frosinone |
| 37.18% ( | 27.23% ( | 35.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.7% ( | 55.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% ( | 76.52% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( | 28.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.49% ( | 64.51% ( |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( | 29.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.3% ( | 65.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Frosinone |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-2 @ 4.9% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
