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Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Columbus Crew

Montreal
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Choiniere (45+2' pen.)
Choiniere (35'), Lassiter (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arfsten (19'), Rossi (59'), Hinestroza (89')
Camacho (41'), Schulte (45+1'), Yeboah (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 12 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew

Something tells us that Montreal will be extra motivated for this match, not just because of their collapse last weekend, but also to give their current manager an ego boost against their former boss. That said, the Crew have tremendous resilience and have fared well in intimidating environments all season, which is why we project they will nab a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
35.65% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 23.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.64% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)61.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.65% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.012 -0.01)19.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)51.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 35.65%
    Columbus Crew 40.65%
    Draw 23.7%
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.65%

How you voted: Montreal vs Columbus Crew

CF Montreal
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Columbus Crew
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-4
Columbus Crew
Opoku (52'), Vilsaint (68')
Jabang (18'), Miljevic (90+4')
Corbo (14' og.), Camilo Hernandez (22', 43', 65')
Yeboah (29'), Amundsen (46'), Schulte (86')
Sep 10, 2022 12.30am
Aug 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
1-2
Montreal
Diaz Espinoza (47')
Waterman (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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