Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate6 - 2Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Independiente del Valle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Barracas Central
Tuesday, May 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, May 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Universitario 1-1 Independiente
Friday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 12.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
68.7% ( -0) | 19.18% ( -0) | 12.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.19% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
