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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Apr 27, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 1
Boca Juniors

Mastantuono (25'), Driussi (44')
Acuna (45'), Borja (45'), Meza (56'), Martinez (74'), Mastantuono (90+2'), Castano (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Merentiel (38')
Belmonte (12'), Costa (19'), Rojo (23'), Advincula (62'), Battaglia (85')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawBoca Juniors
60.09% (0.151 0.15) 23.11% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08) 16.81% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.82% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.178 0.18)52.68% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.152 0.15)74.32% (-0.151 -0.15)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.11600000000001 0.12)17.19% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (0.204 0.2)47.46% (-0.203 -0.2)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.33% (0.012 0.01)44.67% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)80.67% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 60.08%
    Boca Juniors 16.81%
    Draw 23.1%
River PlateDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.81%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 15
Boca Juniors
0-1
River Plate

Merentiel (41'), Rojo (52'), Lema (89'), Gimenez (90+12')
Lema (90+12')
Lanzini (20')
Gattoni (1'), Simon (44'), Colidio (45+4'), Fonseca (50'), Bustos (79'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Apr 21, 2024 7.30pm
River Plate
2-3
Boca Juniors
Borja (10'), Diaz (90+7')
Echeverri (40'), Fernandez (45+1'), Borja (48'), Colidio (73'), Villagra (79'), Solari (90+3')
Merentiel (45+1', 67'), Cavani (62')
Merentiel (44'), Rojo (48'), Cavani (70'), Blanco (76'), Figal (90+6')
Feb 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
1-1
Boca Juniors
Solari (49')
Fernandez (20'), Herrera (52')
Medina (70')
Figal (8'), Medina (43'), Blanco (45+1')
Oct 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Boca Juniors
0-2
River Plate

Campuzano (29'), Valentini (30'), Saracchi (65'), Zeballos (87'), Valdez (89')
Rondon (41'), Diaz (90+6')
Fernandez (54'), Diaz (81'), Armani (86')
May 7, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 15
River Plate
1-0
Boca Juniors
Borja (90+3' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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