MX23RW : Wednesday, May 28 23:03:36| >> :60:18:18:
Universitario
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental

Universitario
0 - 1
River Plate


Concha (36'), Corzo (49'), Valera (55'), Murrugarra (62'), Velez (72'), Flores (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (17')
Perez (23'), Castano (63'), Bustos (74'), Armani (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universitario and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Universitario 0-0 Inter Miami (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, January 30 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Rosario
Sunday, March 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Universitario win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
UniversitarioDrawRiver Plate
34.67% (-0.853 -0.85) 27.03% (0.156 0.16) 38.3% (0.697 0.7)
Both teams to score 50.7% (-0.584 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.697 -0.7)54.59% (0.697 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06% (-0.583 -0.58)75.93% (0.58200000000001 0.58)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (-0.876 -0.88)29.88% (0.876 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (-1.071 -1.07)65.98% (1.071 1.07)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (0.070000000000007 0.07)27.7% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (0.090000000000003 0.09)63.25% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Universitario 34.67%
    River Plate 38.29%
    Draw 27.03%
UniversitarioDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 10% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 34.67%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.223 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 10.62% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.209 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 38.29%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!